Why bitcoin could rally more than 70% in the coming week, Fundstrat’s Lee says


Digital currencies are in negative territory for the second consecutive day, with the price of bitcoin gravitating away from the key $10,000 level.

After a weekend rally took bitcoin near the psychological level, the No. 1 digital currency lost as much as 9%, trading to an overnight low of $9,050.35. A single bitcoinBTCUSD, -3.32% last changed hands at $9,205.21, down 2.2% since Monday’s levels at 5 p.m. Eastern time on the Kraken exchange.

However, the loss of momentum may be short-term, some market participants said.

Consensus event and record highs

Beginning May 14, the Consensus conference that is expected to attract close to 7,000 blockchain and cryptocurrency enthusiasts, starts in New York, and one analyst said there are seasonality patterns to the conference (see chart below) that could push bitcoin back toward an all-time high.

“Already one of the largest crypto conferences in the world, attendance this year is up dramatically and coming at a time when Bitcoin/Crypto is down YTD. Hence, we expect the Consensus rally to be even larger than past years,” wrote Tom Lee, managing partner at Fundstrat Global Advisors.

According to Lee, the prior Consensus rallies have yielded gains between 10% and 70%, meaning if this year does outdo the previous, bitcoin could surge back above $15,000.


While regulation is sure to be a topic of conversation, Lee said he doesn’t expect this to hinder, what he sees as a pending rally. “What could go wrong? Commentary around regulatory risks during Consensus are negative. We do not expect this to be the case, however,” wrote Lee.

Read: The advent of bitcoin futures sparked the selloff from $20,000, says San Francisco Fed

NYSE preps crypto platform

Late Monday, the New York Times, citing anonymous sources, said the parent company of the New York Stock Exchange, Intercontinental Exchange, is working on a trading platform that would allow investors to purchase bitcoin.

The news is another step toward mainstream adoption for cryptocurrencies and follows last weeks announcement that Goldman Sachs Group GS, +0.17%  would be opening a cryptocurrency trading desk.

How altcoins and futures are performing

The so-called alt-coins, or alternative coins to bitcoin, have tracked bitcoin lower early Tuesday. Ether ETHUSD, -3.43% was down 3.3% at $734.80, Bitcoin CashBCHUSD, -6.45% has lost 4.8%, trading at $1,590, Litecoin LTCUSD, -4.66%  was off by about 3.7% at $160.53 and Ripple’s XRP XRPUSD, -4.48% has shed 4%, last trading at 81 cents.

Futures have tracked the spot market lower Tuesday. The Cboe Global Markets Inc.’s May contract XBTK8, -2.92% is down 3.3% at $9,095 and the CME Group Inc. May contract BTCK8, -3.18%  is off 3.4%, trading at $9,115.

Read more at: Market Watch

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