Bitcoin Has Halved—What Now?

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Bitcoin successfully went through its third halving yesterday, seeing the daily supply of new bitcoin cut by half.

The bitcoin price, which had been highly volatile in the run-up to yesterday’s closely-watched halving, has remained flat since the supply squeeze—up a little over 1% and hovering around $8,800 per bitcoin.

The bitcoin community has now turned to what’s next for the world’s number one cryptocurrency and the bitcoin price.

Yesterday evening, the number of bitcoin rewarded to those that maintain the bitcoin network, called miners, was cut by half—dropping from 12.5 bitcoin to 6.25.

Many had warned the bitcoin price could crash in the aftermath of the halving but most analysts seem confident the bitcoin price will climb eventually.

“The recent much-hyped halving, while largely psychological in impact, could create a catalyst drawing new players into the market and contributing to the rise in the value of bitcoin,” said Gavin Smith, chief executive of Hong Kong-based bitcoin and cryptocurrency exchange and hedge fund Panxora, adding he believes bitcoin is at “the start of a multi-year bull phase” though there could be “a bumpy road ahead.”

Last week, the bitcoin and crypto community was set alight by news legendary macro investor Paul Tudor Jones is buying bitcoin as a hedge against the inflation he sees coming as a result of unprecedented coronavirus and lockdown-induced central bank money-printing.

“While traditional markets grow uncertain, we can expect more investors to use bitcoin as an inflation hedge and to protect their assets against currency devaluation,” said Smith.

Congress and the Federal Reserve have pumped trillions of dollars into the U.S. economy in recent months to cushion against the coronavirus pandemic and lockdowns designed to slow its spread.

The massive action from the U.S. as well as other governments and central banks around the world has sparked fears over inflation and out-of-control debt.

However, investors have rushed toward the perceived safety of the dollar since the coronavirus crisis began.

“The rest of the world needs to either keep printing money or see their own currency eroding drastically in front of the unbeatable dollars,” said Jean-Marie Mognetti, chief executive of digital asset manager CoinShares.

“Turkey, Brazil, or Argentina are the perfect examples of this. Consequently, in a world where investors continue to seek protection for their portfolios against the world’s central banks’ behavior, bitcoin, a digital currency whose supply is programmatically defined to reduce until it reaches its maximum supply, would seem to be the perfect hedge for any institutional investor portfolio.”

If bitcoin successfully matures into a safe-haven asset and a hedge against inflation, some analysts see the bitcoin price accelerating over the next couple of years—potentially eclipsing its all-time high of around $20,000 per bitcoin.

“I am confident we will see a new all-time high within 18 months, in the $20,000 – $50,000 region,” said Simon Peters, market analyst at brokerage eToro, putting the top of the next bull market at around $100,000 to $120,000 per bitcoin.

However, Peters warned “another black swan event,” such as the coronavirus pandemic, or a second wave of COVID-19, could see the bitcoin price decline.

Author: Billy Bambrough

Read more at: https://www.forbes.com/sites/billybambrough/2020/05/12/bitcoin-has-halved-what-now/#3612198f2f41

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